Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.007099 0.007949 0.008877 0.009967 0.011216 0.012606 0.014275
2025-03-16 0.005503 0.006600 0.007897 0.009553 0.011627 0.014159 0.017512
2025-03-23 0.004749 0.005959 0.007466 0.009503 0.012215 0.015747 0.020769
2025-03-30 0.004402 0.005734 0.007469 0.009931 0.013387 0.018152 0.025369
2025-04-06 0.003881 0.005204 0.006990 0.009619 0.013471 0.019033 0.027909
2025-04-13 0.003477 0.004782 0.006597 0.009360 0.013563 0.019890 0.030479
2025-04-20 0.003213 0.004525 0.006400 0.009347 0.013995 0.021277 0.034045
2025-04-27 0.003075 0.004431 0.006424 0.009657 0.014943 0.023570 0.039435
2025-05-04 0.002865 0.004208 0.006232 0.009602 0.015287 0.024899 0.043334
2025-05-11 0.002705 0.004048 0.006116 0.009653 0.015801 0.026563 0.048086
2025-05-18 0.002528 0.003846 0.005917 0.009539 0.016010 0.027700 0.051989
2025-05-25 0.002426 0.003755 0.005886 0.009704 0.016725 0.029839 0.058237
2025-06-01 0.002282 0.003588 0.005725 0.009644 0.017052 0.031346 0.063575
2025-06-08 0.002089 0.003330 0.005393 0.009250 0.016710 0.031511 0.066059
2025-06-15 0.001975 0.003194 0.005258 0.009201 0.017028 0.033045 0.071933
2025-06-22 0.001944 0.003197 0.005366 0.009613 0.018308 0.036773 0.083789
2025-06-29 0.001808 0.003009 0.005115 0.009313 0.018088 0.037208 0.087537
2025-07-06 0.001692 0.002846 0.004900 0.009063 0.017946 0.037795 0.091800
2025-07-13 0.001617 0.002754 0.004809 0.009050 0.018313 0.039607 0.099764
2025-07-20 0.001588 0.002743 0.004868 0.009349 0.019403 0.043302 0.113910
2025-07-27 0.001517 0.002650 0.004764 0.009297 0.019686 0.045053 0.122763
2025-08-03 0.001464 0.002586 0.004709 0.009345 0.020210 0.047496 0.134359
2025-08-10 0.001396 0.002491 0.004588 0.009236 0.020341 0.048923 0.143047